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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Confusing GNU rollout results !!


From: Nis Jorgensen
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Confusing GNU rollout results !!
Date: Fri, 13 Dec 2002 11:31:59 +0100

--On 13 December 2002 09:29 +0000 Ian Shaw <address@hidden> wrote:

Let's look at play 2 where it is simple to do the math. We win the match
6.4% on our G's plus half of the remaining 43.2% wins or 21.6 + 6.4 =28 %
and GNU is reporting this as 28.24% !! Is GNU doing two different
rollouts or is something screwing up with truncating to the bearoff
database ?

What's wrong ? ....neilkaz....
----------------------------------------

I've checked the evaluations, and they seem to be correct (within the
limits of rounding error).

Ian, what do you mean here? While the example Neil chose is not the one with the biggest deviation (move 1 is) it is outside rounding error range.

    1. Cubeful 2-ply    bar/17 11/7(2)               MWC:  28.85%
[28.855}        0.521 0.056 0.001 - 0.479 0.079 0.001
        2-ply cubeful 100% speed [world class]
    2. Cubeful 2-ply    bar/21 13/9(3)               MWC:  28.72% (
-0.13%)   [28.70%]        0.494 0.080 0.002 - 0.506 0.136 0.004
        2-ply cubeful 100% speed [world class]
    3. Cubeful 2-ply    bar/17 8/4(2)                MWC:  28.24% (
-0.61%)   [28.20%]        0.499 0.065 0.001 - 0.501 0.100 0.002
        2-ply cubeful 100% speed [world class]

Your evaluation  does not show the anomaly. Neil's rollout does.

--
Nis Jorgensen
Amsterdam



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