We received this report at address@hidden I guess it's for you ...
Best,
Karl
From: Freddy Galliers-Pratt <address@hidden>
Dear Gnu
Can you please advise me on something I have just noticed.
For game position:
CQAAcAAAAAAAAA
Match ID( UQnvAAAAAAAA)
Black has rolled 6&3 and bears 2/off [2]
Red then rolls 2&1 to go to game position:
AgAAJAAAAAAAAA
Match ID( EQHlAAAAAAAA)
And mathematically cannot win, but bears 1/off.
However if game equities are now checked, he is massive favourite to
win, .944
Position ID: AgAAJAAAAAAAAA
Match ID: EQHlAAAAAAAA
Evaluator: BEAROFF2
Player Opponent
Position 9 2
Cubeless equity : +0.8889
Owned cube : +0.8889
Centered cube : +0.8889
Opponent owns cube : +0.8889
Player Opponent
Position 9 2
Bearing off Bearing at least one chequer off
Rolls Player Opponent Player Opponent
0 0.000 0.000 100.000 100.000
1 94.444 100.000 0.000 0.000
2 5.556 0.000 0.000 0.000
Average rolls
Bearing off Saving gammon
Player Opponent Player Opponent
Mean 1.056 1.000 0.000 0.000
Std dev 0.229 0.000 0.000 0.000
Effective pip count:
Player Opponent
EPC 8.620 8.167
Wastage 4.620 6.167
EPC = 8.167 * Average rolls
Wastage = EPC - pips
Win W(g) W(bg) L(g) L(bg) MWC Cubeful
static: 0.944 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 60.76% 60.76%
Yet with only a 2 left and a chequer on the 3, it is impossible.
I am reading your equities wrong, or is this a bug?
Really appreciate your thoughts.
Best regards
Freddy Galliers
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