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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Possible evaluation bug


From: Øystein Schønning-Johansen
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Possible evaluation bug
Date: Sat, 17 Feb 2018 14:09:33 +0100

Hehe!

The difference I spot is the move filters. However the analysis uses less filtering than hint, and yet it is analysis which get's it wrong? Strange. In my settings I have:

      Move filter for 2 ply:
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

I wonder what happens if I increase this to 16/0.32.... ?

Hah! Then I get the same thing as you!

Rolled 51 (-0.066):
     1. Cubeful 2-ply    24/18                        Eq.: -1.8477
       0.1439 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8561 0.7156 0.4286
        2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
     2. Cubeful 2-ply    24/19 6/5                    Eq.: -1.9908 (-0.1431)
       0.1062 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8938 0.7347 0.6269
        2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
     3. Cubeful 2-ply    24/19 7/6                    Eq.: -2.0118 (-0.1641)
       0.1022 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.8978 0.7392 0.6261
        2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
*    4. Cubeful 2-ply    24/19 18/17                  Eq.: -2.0615 (-0.2139)
       0.0892 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9108 0.7435 0.6447
        2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

So.... the conclusion must be that there is something funny with the movefilters. Don't know what.

-Øystein





On Sat, Feb 17, 2018 at 1:57 PM, Terje Pedersen <address@hidden> wrote:
Sure.

Best regards,
TP


On Sat, Feb 17, 2018 at 1:51 PM, Øystein Schønning-Johansen
<address@hidden> wrote:
> This observation can be a clue, indeed.
>
> Can you do:
> show evaluation
> show analyzis
>
> That will hopefully give us the difference in the settings, that lead to the
> different results.
>
> -Øystein
>
> On Sat, Feb 17, 2018 at 1:36 PM, Terje Pedersen <address@hidden> wrote:
>>
>> I tried adding:
>>
>> set evaluation chequerplay evaluation prune off
>>
>> to the command file but the output is the same.
>>
>> I have noticed that if I use 'hint' instead of 'analyze move' I get a
>> completely different result.
>>
>> set player 0 human
>> new match 0
>> set output rawboard off
>> set xgid XGID=----BBCA-----A----B-B--eB-:0:0:1:51:0:3:0:5:10
>> move 24/19 18/17
>> previous
>> hint
>>
>> Perhaps it could be a clue. Not sure.
>>
>> Best regards,
>> TP
>>
>>
>> On Sat, Feb 17, 2018 at 1:05 PM, Øystein Schønning-Johansen
>> <address@hidden> wrote:
>> > Yes! Things looks correct.
>> >
>> > I browse the code history from your release to the one I'm using. The
>> > only
>> > change I can see that may matter, is the use of pruning neural networks
>> > in
>> > move selections.
>> > Can you try also with pruning turned turned off. Does that change
>> > anything?
>> >
>> > -Øystein
>> >
>> > On Sat, Feb 17, 2018 at 12:38 PM, Terje Pedersen <address@hidden>
>> > wrote:
>> >>
>> >> Hi!
>> >>
>> >> Initially it triggered on an ubuntu server: 4.4.0-67-generic
>> >> #88-Ubuntu that runs the same 1.05.000 version of gnu bg then I tried
>> >> it on my Windows 10 machine and got the same result.
>> >>
>> >> (No game) show matchequitytable
>> >> Match equity table: Kazaross XG2 25 point MET
>> >> (/usr/local/share/gnubg/met/Kazaross-XG2.xml)
>> >>
>> >> looks good.
>> >>
>> >> I'll give 1.06 version a try and see if it will handle this position
>> >> differently.
>> >>
>> >> Thanks for your reply!
>> >>
>> >> Best regards,
>> >> TP
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> On Sat, Feb 17, 2018 at 11:44 AM, Øystein Schønning-Johansen
>> >> <address@hidden> wrote:
>> >> > Really strange. However it is a heisenbug (of course). I cannot
>> >> > recreate
>> >> > the
>> >> > bug on my system. (GNU Backgammon 1.06.000  Dec 13 2017, Arch Linux)
>> >> >
>> >> > Here is how the same thing looks at my system:
>> >> >
>> >> >  GNU Backgammon  Position ID: PgAAALYLBDMMAA
>> >> >                  Match ID   : cImmADAAAAAE
>> >> >  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+     O: gnubg
>> >> >  | X              X |   |    X        O  X | OO  3 points
>> >> >  |                X |   |    X        O  X | OO
>> >> >  |                  |   |             O    | OO
>> >> >  |                  |   |             O    | OO
>> >> >  |                  |   |             O    | OO
>> >> > v|                  |BAR|                  |     5 point match (Cube:
>> >> > 1)
>> >> >  |                  |   |                  |
>> >> >  |                  |   |                  |
>> >> >  |                  |   | X                |
>> >> >  |                  |   | X  X  X          |     Rolled 51
>> >> >  |                X |   | X  X  X          |     0 points
>> >> >  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+     X: oystein
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >> > Cube analysis
>> >> > 2-ply cubeless equity -2.2349 (Money: -2.0391)
>> >> >   0.0860 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9140 0.7715 0.4396
>> >> > Cubeful equities:
>> >> > 1. No double           -2.0550
>> >> > 2. Double, pass        +1.0000  (+3.0550)
>> >> > 3. Double, take        -2.4258  (-0.3708)
>> >> > Proper cube action: No double, take (10.8%)
>> >> >
>> >> > Rolled 51 (-0.066):
>> >> > *    1. Cubeful 2-ply    24/19 18/17                  Eq.: -2.0615
>> >> >        0.0892 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9108 0.7435 0.6447
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      2. Cubeful 2-ply    13/7                         Eq.: -2.1614
>> >> > (-0.0999)
>> >> >        0.0707 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9293 0.7800 0.6404
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      3. Cubeful 2-ply    13/8 6/5                     Eq.: -2.1766
>> >> > (-0.1151)
>> >> >        0.0701 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9299 0.7866 0.6634
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      4. Cubeful 2-ply    18/13 6/5                    Eq.: -2.1963
>> >> > (-0.1348)
>> >> >        0.0603 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9397 0.7831 0.6918
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      5. Cubeful 2-ply    18/17 18/13                  Eq.: -2.2086
>> >> > (-0.1470)
>> >> >        0.0567 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9433 0.7815 0.7003
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      6. Cubeful 2-ply    18/12                        Eq.: -2.2291
>> >> > (-0.1676)
>> >> >        0.0544 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9456 0.7887 0.6961
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      7. Cubeful 2-ply    18/17 13/8                   Eq.: -2.2481
>> >> > (-0.1866)
>> >> >        0.0524 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9476 0.7953 0.6954
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      8. Cubeful 2-ply    18/17 7/2                    Eq.: -2.2952
>> >> > (-0.2337)
>> >> >        0.0476 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9524 0.8135 0.7098
>> >> >         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >      9. Cubeful 0-ply    24/19 6/5                    Eq.: -2.1277
>> >> > (-0.0661)
>> >> >        0.0653 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9347 0.7599 0.4187
>> >> >         0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
>> >> >     10. Cubeful 0-ply    18/13 7/6                    Eq.: -2.1289
>> >> > (-0.0674)
>> >> >        0.0648 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.9352 0.7593 0.5707
>> >> >         0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
>> >> >
>> >> > I'm on this system:
>> >> > address@hidden ~]$ gnubg -t < terjebug.txt
>> >> > GNU Backgammon 1.06.000  Dec 13 2017
>> >> >
>> >> > Can you supply which OS, version/build of GNU Backgammon (well that
>> >> > looks
>> >> > like you got "GNU Backgammon 1.05.000  Nov 27 2016"). Can you also
>> >> > state
>> >> > which match equity table you are using?
>> >> >
>> >> > I have a theory that it get's the wrong answer because it calculates
>> >> > the
>> >> > gammonvalue (or actually the backgammon value in this case)
>> >> > incorrectly.
>> >> >
>> >> > can you append
>> >> >
>> >> > show matchequitytable
>> >> > show marketwindow
>> >> > show gammonvalues
>> >> >
>> >> > to your command file, and submit the output?
>> >> >
>> >> > -Øystein
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >> > On Fri, Feb 16, 2018 at 5:43 PM, Terje Pedersen <address@hidden>
>> >> > wrote:
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Hi!
>> >> >>
>> >> >> I just ran into what looks like a gnu evaluation bug where gnu seems
>> >> >> to suggest that I should try to avoid backgammon when a gammon will
>> >> >> lose the match anyway. command file:
>> >> >>
>> >> >> set player 0 human
>> >> >> new match 0
>> >> >> set output rawboard off
>> >> >> set xgid XGID=----BBCA-----A----B-B--eB-:0:0:1:51:0:3:0:5:10
>> >> >> move 24/19 18/17
>> >> >> next
>> >> >> previous
>> >> >> analyze move
>> >> >> show board
>> >> >>
>> >> >> $ ./gnubg.exe -t -c commands.txt
>> >> >> GNU Backgammon 1.05.000  Nov 27 2016
>> >> >> Copyright (C) 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004 by Gary Wong.
>> >> >> Copyright (C) 2015 by Gary Wong and the AUTHORS; for details type
>> >> >> `show version'.
>> >> >> This program comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY; for details type
>> >> >> `show
>> >> >> warranty'.
>> >> >> This is free software, and you are welcome to redistribute it under
>> >> >> certain conditions; type `show copying' for details.
>> >> >> Moves for gnubg must now be entered manually.
>> >> >> A new session has been started.
>> >> >> TTY boards will be given in ASCII.
>> >> >> The dice have been set to 5 and 1.
>> >> >>  GNU Backgammon  Position ID: PgAAALYLBDMMAA
>> >> >>                  Match ID   : cImmADAAAAAE
>> >> >>  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+     O: gnubg
>> >> >>  | X              X |   |    X        O  X | OO  3 points
>> >> >>  |                X |   |    X        O  X | OO
>> >> >>  |                  |   |             O    | OO
>> >> >>  |                  |   |             O    | OO
>> >> >>  |                  |   |             O    | OO
>> >> >> v|                  |BAR|                  |     5 point match
>> >> >> (Cube:
>> >> >> 1)
>> >> >>  |                  |   |                  |
>> >> >>  |                  |   |                  |
>> >> >>  |                  |   | X                |
>> >> >>  |                  |   | X  X  X          |     Rolled 51
>> >> >>  |                X |   | X  X  X          |     0 points
>> >> >>  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+     X: terje
>> >> >>
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Cube analysis
>> >> >> 2-ply cubeless equity  -2.238 (Money:  -2.039)
>> >> >>   0.086 0.000 0.000 - 0.914 0.771 0.440
>> >> >> Cubeful equities:
>> >> >> 1. No double            -2.058
>> >> >> 2. Double, pass         +1.000  ( +3.058)
>> >> >> 3. Double, take         -2.430  ( -0.372)
>> >> >> Proper cube action: No double, take (10.9%)
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Rolled 51 (-0.066):
>> >> >>      1. Cubeful 2-ply    24/18                        Eq.:  -1.850
>> >> >>        0.144 0.000 0.000 - 0.856 0.716 0.430
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>      2. Cubeful 2-ply    24/19 6/5                    Eq.:  -1.994 (
>> >> >> -0.143)
>> >> >>        0.106 0.000 0.000 - 0.894 0.735 0.627
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>      3. Cubeful 2-ply    24/19 7/6                    Eq.:  -2.015 (
>> >> >> -0.164)
>> >> >>        0.102 0.000 0.000 - 0.898 0.739 0.626
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >> *    4. Cubeful 2-ply    24/19 18/17                  Eq.:  -2.065 (
>> >> >> -0.214)
>> >> >>        0.089 0.000 0.000 - 0.911 0.743 0.647
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>      5. Cubeful 2-ply    13/7                         Eq.:  -2.165 (
>> >> >> -0.314)
>> >> >>        0.071 0.000 0.000 - 0.929 0.780 0.641
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>      6. Cubeful 2-ply    13/8 6/5                     Eq.:  -2.180 (
>> >> >> -0.329)
>> >> >>        0.070 0.000 0.000 - 0.930 0.787 0.663
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>      7. Cubeful 2-ply    18/13 6/5                    Eq.:  -2.200 (
>> >> >> -0.349)
>> >> >>        0.060 0.000 0.000 - 0.940 0.783 0.692
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>      8. Cubeful 2-ply    7/2 6/5                      Eq.:  -2.206 (
>> >> >> -0.355)
>> >> >>        0.068 0.000 0.000 - 0.932 0.799 0.669
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>      9. Cubeful 2-ply    18/17 18/13                  Eq.:  -2.212 (
>> >> >> -0.361)
>> >> >>        0.057 0.000 0.000 - 0.943 0.781 0.700
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>     10. Cubeful 2-ply    18/13 7/6                    Eq.:  -2.229 (
>> >> >> -0.378)
>> >> >>        0.056 0.000 0.000 - 0.944 0.789 0.702
>> >> >>         2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Any idea what is going on here? I am using gnu bg for evaluating
>> >> >> moves
>> >> >> on Backgammon Studio when playing online matches and was hit in the
>> >> >> face with this double blunder which I was confident couldn't
>> >> >> possibly
>> >> >> be correct. XG doesn't think it is much of an error:
>> >> >>
>> >> >>     2. XG Roller++ 24/19 18/17                  eq:-2.2250 (-0.0057)
>> >> >>       Player:   7.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
>> >> >>       Opponent: 92.42% (G:76.45% B:64.53%)
>> >> >>
>> >> >>
>> >> >> Best regards,
>> >> >> TP
>> >> >>
>> >> >> _______________________________________________
>> >> >> Bug-gnubg mailing list
>> >> >> address@hidden
>> >> >> https://lists.gnu.org/mailman/listinfo/bug-gnubg
>> >> >
>> >> >
>> >
>> >
>
>


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