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Re: [Swarmfest2006] NAACSOS speakers
From: |
Greg Madey |
Subject: |
Re: [Swarmfest2006] NAACSOS speakers |
Date: |
Sun, 21 May 2006 13:13:32 -0400 |
Steve,
NAACSOS has two invited speakers: Steven Bankes (CTO for Evolving
Logic, Inc and Professor at the Rand Graduate School) and Les Gasser
(University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign).
I propose that Les Gasser be a speaker for NAACSOS on Thursday and
Steven Bankes be a speaker on Friday for the shared conference day
between both NAACSOS and SwarmFest.
Steve Bankes' abstract is below.
My understanding is that Gary An will speak on Friday also? Perhaps
the remaining SwarmFest invited speakers can be scheduled on Saturday?
Greg
===============================
Anticipatory Modeling: Robust Inference in Computational Social Science
Steve Bankes
Evolving Logic/RAND
The world faces profound social, economic, environmental, and
technological transitions. How we choose to meet our challenges –
stemming global terror, halting the spread of AIDS and other
infectious diseases, achieving sustainable development, managing new
genetic technologies, etc. -- will resonate throughout the 21st
century. Models of social-political behavior can be informative in
understanding these problems, and can be used to anticipate possible
future developments and the possible implications of contemplated
actions. Their value can be greatly enhanced by the use of robust
inference in the design and analysis of computational experiments
using them. Techniques have proven their utility including the use
of co-evolutionary mechanisms to seek in parallel robust conclusions
and cases that maximally stress them, and the use of machine learning
techniques to infer human interpretable generalizations from the
results of thousands or millions of experiments. These methods
harness computation not to solve the intractable problem of
predicting the long-term future, but instead to enable a
fundamentally different, more sensible question: Given what we know
today, how should we act to best shape the future to our liking? Our
greatest potential influence for shaping the future may often be
precisely over those time scales where our gaze is most dim.
On May 18, 2006, at 4:39 PM, Steve Railsback wrote:
Mike- have you guys figured out when the NAACSOS invited speakers
are going to be?
Steve
--
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Arcata CA 95521
(707) 822-0453
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