Re: Epidemiological Modelling

[Pietro Terna]

        Dear Andy,

        look at http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/5/3/5.html

        All the best, Pietro

At 10.56 16/09/2002 +0100, you wrote:
> Is SWARM suitable for epidemiological modelling?,
>
> I am a researcher working on a DFID funded project at the London School of 
> Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.  I am currently selecting the software to 
> develop a discrete event micro-simulation model and would greatly 
> appreciate your advice on the suitability of SWARM.  The model will 
> simulate the life histories of Bangladeshi children and sensitivity 
> analysis should then determine the benefit of vaccination.
>
> We have proposed a 'time-to-event' approach whereby age distributions and 
> random numbers are used to determine the next event for a Susceptible 
> individual e.g. 1st Dose, Infection, Unrelated Death.  The age 
> distributions need to be specific to the individual e.g. Male, Urban, Aged 
> 3.2, Immunity Status = 0 etc.  Outcomes from events are selected via 
> random numbers and transition probabilities, again dependent on the 
> attributes of the individual.  A central calendar then organises the 
> events, working through them and allocating new ones in time order.
>
> The parameters are % Vaccine Coverage, % Vaccine Efficacy and Dose 
> Schedule (time of 1st, 2nd & 3rd dose).
>
> Do you think SWARM would be appropriate?  Do you have any other software 
> suggestions if not?
>
> Many thanks,
>
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Andy Clark
>
> Health Services Research Unit
> London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
> http://www.lshtm.ac.uk/location/
>
> Tel:      +44 (0) 20 7323 9043
> Fax:     +44 (0) 20 7580 8183
>
>
>
>
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  esp. using Swarm.  For list administration needs (esp. [un]subscribing),
  please send a message to <address@hidden> with "help" in the
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